Startups Definition, phases and financing stages (part 2 of 2)

Startups are dynamic and have different development stages with different characteristics and requirements.

A.

First, an opportunity is identified, followed by the clear definition of the value proposition. It is equally important to determine the target market(s). Offering a solution for a market which is poised to grow is the best strategy. Never target a stagnant or shrinking market; and try to avoid markets with low profit margins. (This merits a detailed discussion, which is out of the scope of this article.)

Once this is determined you are past the first stage: ideation.

By the end of this stage the core idea exists to start forming a business plan (alternatively business map canvas) and marketing map.

B.

Second, milestones should be defined, as well as the ultimate vision of the startup. In other words, the previous step identified the land to be conquered, and this second step devises the plan and milestones to conquer the land. If you are going in a partnership to conquer this new land, your first and major step would be to clarify what each partner will gain if there are victories in the future. It is even more important to make sure your fair share of the land will be secured for you. Procurement strategy is also important in this phase. Similar to a war, you need to have a truthful definition of the required human and financial resources, you need to know how long it takes to capture and claim the land and the benefits that will materialize. I would also recommend you should think about a  surrender strategy. It is important to know when and how to retreat if risks materialize and cannot be mitigated.

At this point, you are past the second stage: Conception.

By the end of this stage, startup has a strategy. The business plan or the business map canvas are clearer. The four major elements, opportunity, people, context and deal are already thought of, and the first draft of the business plan can be prepared. (Further discussion about a business plan or business map canvas is out of the scope of this article). Partnership agreements as well as an article of association can be drafted out. These drafts may change and may be totally different as further discussions, research and investigation are conducted.

It should be noted that from financing perspective, the company is at seed stage at this point. Financing may be provided to entrepreneurs for the further research, assessment and initial development before actual implementation or even forming the startup.

C.

In third step, implementation begins. More than often, this step overlaps with steps two, and even one. It is difficult to find funders at this stage; even though financial resources are very important already.

People and contributors should  commit, and implementation starts. Finances need to be procured in one way or another to make a progress.

This is the third stage of a startup: commitment

By the end of this stage, the final partnership agreement and shareholder agreements are available. The most dedicated founders and teams will have an initial prototype or demo by the end of this phase.

From financing perspective, you are at startup stage, and busy with initial marketing research and the early development of the product.

Up to this stage, major investments are provided by founders themselves, angel investors, or the three f’s, families, friends and fools.

D.

This is when the market fit and product fit are being validated for the first time. Multiple rounds of validation and iteration and product refinement will be conducted. Initial approach to a small friendly market with the pilot product/service is usually the first step. Often, KPI (key performance indicators) are defined in the beginning or during this stage, and compared against targets as iterations continue.

This is the validation phase.

By the end of this stage, the startup has a decent product to offer to a well-defined market, and might have started generating revenue. Many startups never reach this stage, and many others realize that their product was not the right fit for the market.

From financing perspective, this is the early stage. At this stage the startup has completed product development and is ready (and requires capital) to commercialize its product in the next stage. Investments usually come from venture capitals, and in some cases from strategic alliances, mergers or acquisitions.

E.

Commercialization starts at this point. Startup is now past the initial product development and marketing activities, and is ready for growth. Company may stay at this stage for a long time, depending on the nature of the product, its target market, motives and skills of the founders, motives and priorities of investors, and prospective buyers.

This is the scaling phase.

By the end of this phase, a company is not a startup anymore. Revenue, number of customers as well as the team is expected to grow in this phase. Company may reach the breakeven point or even become profitable. Many startups never get to this stage and similar to the validation phase, many ventures fail at this stage.

From financing perspective, the company is in expansion. Financing is required for the faster growth of the company, and is vital to the survival and successful transitioning of the startup to the next phase. Multiple rounds of funding with the same or different investors may happen during this phase. More often venture capitals and investors provide the funding in multiple rounds to limit their risk. Details of preferences and considerations of investors and venture capitals are beyond the scope of the present article.

F.

Congratulations to all startups who are past all previous challenging phases. The company, however, is in growth and transitioning phase, which has its own characteristics and challenges.

This is the establishing stage. Attracting resources and investors is easier now, as the company has a decent and established product and a group of customers. It is important for the company to remain loyal to their vision and mission. But it is equally important to review and revise it if required for their further growth and the growth strategy of the company. New processes should be defined and adopted, even if the management team is determined to maintain and encourage the startup and entrepreneurial culture and spirit despite growth.

From financing perspective, this is bridge financing.   

At this stage a company may attract many more private and public investors (IPO), or major investors and buyers (Acquisitions/Mergers/Partnerships/Joint Ventures). Decision on how to proceed to the next level depends on many different factors, including the nature of the product, industry, economical environment, rivalry environment, motives of the initial investors, deals and contracts with venture capitals, motives and skills of the board members and the management team, etc.

 

Conclusion:

Startups are exciting, dynamic and eventful. Opportunities emerge. Visions shape. Startups are born and founders put not just their hopes, but their lives in them. Some survive, others sink, and many new ones surface. Being forward-looking, focused, and determined are the main elements of success, or as my two favourite quotes summarize it:

“I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.”  –Wayne Gretzy, Hockey Star

“If you’re going through hell, keep going.”  –Winston Churchill, British Prime Minister

Startups Definition, phases and financing stages (part 1 of 2)

 

Many definitions are offered for a startup business by the most renown business people and researchers. I like many of those definitions but I, personally and for the purpose of this article, would like to define a startup in very simple terms, as an entity which is recently formed, to grasp a perceived -but yet to be proved- opportunity, with the hope of future growth.  

I, intentionally, try to avoid limiting the definition to the fancy world of technology and IT ventures in Bay Area and Silicon Valley, but expand the term to include all industries. It should however be noted that mature business models that have been tried many times do not qualify as startups, but as micro or small businesses. Their risks, rewards, market and product fit are known already, and their success, financing challenges, capital structures, development phases and exit strategies depend on factors that are different with those of startups.

Some elements are common among all startups, regardless of their product, purpose and location:

  1. They are newly formed; usually within the past three to five years.
  2. They are risky; the future of the company is uncertain, and the market and/or the product fit is to be tested and proven.
  3. Often, they are not profitable. Technically, a startup can be profitable. But in reality, as soon as a business generates profits, it begins its journey towards a more stable and secure standing which doesn’t fit the startup category.
  4. An opportunity is identified and addressed. Usually if an entrepreneur can not explain the opportunity (value-proposition of their solution) in 30 seconds in very understandable, meaningful and definitive terms, startup is less likely to be on the right track.
  5. Startups have less than 100 employees, and very often even less than a handful. Board members do not exceed five people, and up to a certain stage, there is no revenue. But of course revenue may even reach to as high as $100 million in the luckiest and most successful cases!

A careful review of the definition of a startup and the common characteristics of all startups shows that the following matters are critical and should be determined and well thought of in advance. The first and foremost, a startup should have a clear definition of the opportunity and the value proposition of the solution. Second, the target market should be well-defined. Third, required resources should be identified. That includes both human and financial resources. Fourth the expected return on investment, and the timeline for the return should be determined. Fifth the external risks and threats on which the startup will have little or no control or influence, should be identified. Sixth is the exit strategy; whether the founder(s team) is planning to grow the business organically, arrange an IPO offering,or sell it to a prospect buyer.

When the founder(s) bring all these information on paper, two documents as well as some ideas will emerge:

-a business plan (or alternatively, a business map canvas),

-an article of association, as well as

-thoughts and ideas of who and how to approach to fund the startup.  

Verizon IoT ThingSpace vs. AT&T M2X

Verizon’s platform for IoT developers, the ThingSpace is now launched after being in development for two long years. This platform is supposed to ‘ease’ the developers’ job to create IoT solutions by providing them with the most commonly used set of APIs, and analytical tools to extract meaningful information from collected and stored data. In other words, Verizon is providing the end-to-end ecosystem to all stakeholders, including developers, customers and services/businesses. This is a remarkable opportunity, as Verizon claims that this scalable web-based platform can connect over ninety countries, and therefore the number of connections is poised to skyrocket in 2016 and after.

AT&T’, on the other hand, launched M2X, a cloud-based data storage, management and analysis tool, without providing a platform or APIs for the actual development of the application solution. M2X APIs, however, can be integrated with other AT&T APIs, such as Advertising, In-App Messaging, SMS, MMS, Speech, U-Verse, and more. I am not sure if Verizon’s platform APIs can be integrated with their other APIs. But I suspect integration will be implemented soon if it is not available already.

It is noteworthy that by nature, the machine to machine connections, which are very similar to the Internet of Things, do not require high-speed (or even real-time and synchronized) data throughput, except for specific use cases. Therefore the very great capabilities of the LTE network which are now optimized for Category 3 and higher devices -with high data throughput and low latency- will be unnecessary for IoT. Verizon is therefore aiming to launch a core network, LTE Category 1, optimized for the IoT for further efficiency. Other telecom companies are also following the same strategy, and standardization bodies are working on further definition and standardization of the network environment and characteristics for IoT.

In short, telecommunication companies have been fearing from two major issues for many years now; first the fact that penetration through mobile devices will be limited to the population and cannot go much further. Second, telecom companies were becoming only a data pipeline for consumers who were demanding more and more data throughput to support high-quality streaming video and multimedia solutions. Now the Internet of Things addresses both issues. AT&T, for example, added 1.6 million subscribers, including 1 million connected cars in their third quarter report. Verizon is launching an IoT core network, which is nothing more than an LTE category 1, to ensure the valuable network resources will be used efficiently. All telecom companies are now embracing IoT solutions, which means that they will be selling “solutions” and not just “bandwidths”.

IoT: Trend of Acquisitions and Insights into Google’s Strategy

IoT-related acquisitions are on the rise with no sign of slowing down. By June 2015, buyers had spent close to $15 billion to purchase almost 40 IoT companies. This number totaled $14.3 billion for 62 companies in all 2014. So, if the trend continues, the total dollar value spent on the acquisition of these companies will be twice as big this year compared to last year. It is also important to notice that in average, target companies have been valued at $375 million in 2015 compared to only $231 million in 2014. This means that they have been valued by almost 60% higher than a year earlier. (We will talk about different ways of valuation in a future blog post)
The following diagram shows the trend from 2008 to the end of 2014:

Screen Shot 2015-10-15 at 6.38.58 PM

Most (if not all) of these deals are strategic acquisitions, for quick access to a solution that is well-aligned with the strategy of the buyer. In almost all cases, the buyer itself funds the startup and invests heavily in it, and has a representative on the board to control or influence the decisions, without becoming distracted from its core activities.
Google’s acquisition of Lab Nests in January 2014 was a very good example of a big opportunity being seized in a strategic and well-thought move. Other such examples include the Samsung acquisition of SmartThings, Facebook acquisition of Oculus, and Intel buying Basis Science. Google’s acquisition of Lab Nests is very interesting for many reasons, including and specifically because of perfect alignment to Google’s strategy. Google is very well positioned to benefit from the two major perspectives of the IoT: selling the solution itself, as well as gathering the data and monetizing it in different ways, especially advertisements. In fact, the four main verticals that Google is targeting including connected (driverless) cars, robotics, smart homes, and wearable devices target a wide-enough market to gather information about people’s habits, their daily lives, products and services they use, and even products and services that they need, but do not know of yet! An automated home solution, for example, will gather data about the appliances being used at home, trend of usage, the conditions of the appliances (if they need to be serviced or replaced), therefore consumer’s behavior, interest and consumption patterns. Information will be highly valuable for accurately targeted advertising. Wearable devices, on the other hand, will collect data about your body and your health. Data may be used in many different ways. Systems could alarm you well in advance if you are developing unhealthy conditions, which might lead to a stroke or Alzheimer’s (let’s say if you are misplacing and searching for the connected things more often than before, or show signs of unintelligence as you work on the internet and with the “connected devices”). On the other hand, insurance companies might use the same data to raise your insurance premiums, or insure people based on their family health background or habits! Insurance companies may track your driving style and routes to adjust your car insurance rates too. Possibilities are endless; so are the opportunities for Google as the owner of all the collected data, as a search engine, as an advertising channel, and as a solution provider. Now Google is again addressing one of its major flaws: Google didn’t own data initially and was merely a search engine. Now it owns loads of valuable data. Interestingly but not surprisingly, different companies may have different strategic approaches to IoT acquisitions, depending on the industry, their products and services, and where they are in the value chain. Samsung, Intel and Facebook for example are all interested in the IoT, but their strategies and their target companies to acquire are not exactly the same as Google. We will explain more in future posts.

So, in short, the trend in the acquisition of the IoT-related startups and small companies have accelerated, and will not stop any time soon. Sensors and their algorithms, RFID, small-size chips (MCUs), security solutions, data management, data mining and power management are becoming more exciting and attractive than ever. The more defined and clearer the strategy of giant companies across all industries are, the better they can target the right startups to purchase, and vice versa; startups and small businesses that have a clear strategy and know their target purchaser, may align their targets with those of the prospect acquirer, which will increase their chance of being acquired and at a higher value. This is one of the reasons, why many of the most successful and backed-up small and startup businesses are in fact founded by the ex-managers of the big companies, which will end up purchasing them back again.
Again, we will elaborate more on this subject this in future posts.

Canada Federal Election: Summary of Platforms

If you have not yet voted in the advanced polls, or if you are interested to compare the three parties in their promises -regardless of how they will find enough funding to act on their promises-, this document could be very useful.

It would be also useful if one or several specific issues are of utmost importance to you, and would impact you or the people that you care for.

FederalElectionPlatforms

I hope this helps, especially for those who do not have enough time to investigate and research for themselves.

I, like many of you, hope for a brighter future for my family, Canadians, North Americans and many more in other countries which might be directly or indirectly affected by our choice on Monday Oct. 19th.